3. Payback Period Method (Managerial Accounting):
Previous Definition:
The payback period method represents an extension of
the cost and accounting rate of return methods. This method determines the
period of time that it takes for the original capital investment to be returned
completely in the form of revenues, thus making it possible to roughly evaluate
the risk of various investment objects. An individual investment object is
favorable if its playback period is shorter than the investor's target
specification. when comparing alternatives, the alternative that has the
shortest playback period is the one that should be selected.
(Factory Planning Manual, Michael
Schenk, Siegfried
Wirth, Egon Müller,
p.302)
New Definition (Better):
The payback
period is one of the simplest and most frequently used methods of measuring the
economic value of an investment. The payback period is defined as the
length of time required for the stream of cash proceeds produced by an investment
to equal the original cash outlay required by the investment. If an investment
is expected to produce a stream of cash proceeds that is constant from year to
year, the payback period can be determined by dividing the total original cash
outlay by the amount of the annual cash proceeds expected. Thus, if an
investment required an original outlay of $300 and was expected to produce a
stream of cash proceeds of $100 a year for five years, the payback period would
be $300 divided by $100, or three years. If the stream of expected proceeds is
not constant from year to year, the payback period must be determined by adding
up the proceeds expected in successive years until the total is equal to the original
outlay.
Ordinarily,
the administrator sets some maximum payback period and rejects all investment
proposals for which the payback period is greater than this maximum. Investigators
have reported that maximum payback periods of two, three, four, or five years
are frequently used by industrial concerns. The relatively short periods
mentioned suggest that different maximum payback periods are required for
different types of investments because some kinds of investments (construction,
for example) can seldom be expected to have a payback period as short as five
years.
Assume that
the payback period is also used to rank investment alternatives, with those
having the shortest payback periods being given the highest ranking. The
investments described in Table 4.1 are ranked by this method in Table 4.2. Let
us check the reasonableness of the ranking given to the investments by the cash
payback approach. Investments A and B are both ranked as 1 because they both
have shorter payback periods than any of the other investments, namely, one year.
But investment A earns total proceeds of $10,000, and this amount merely equals
the cost of the investment. Investment B, which has the same rank as A, will earn
not only $10,000 in the first year but also $1,100 in the next year. Obviously,
investment B is superior to A. Any ranking procedure, such as the payback
period, that fails to disclose this fact is deficient.
Consider
investments C and D modified so as to cost $11,524. Both would be given
identical rankings because both would return their original outlay by the end
of the second year. The two investments are in fact similar, with the single exception
that out of identical total returns, more proceeds are received in the first year
and less in the second year from investment D than is the case with C. To the extent
that earnings can be increased by having $2,000 available for reinvestment one
year earlier, D is superior to investment C, but both would be given the same ranking
by the payback period measure. Thus, the cash payback period measure has two
weaknesses: (1) it fails to give any consideration to cash proceeds earned
after the payback date, and (2) it fails to take into account the differences
in the timing of proceeds earned prior to the payback date. These weaknesses
disqualify the cash payback measure as a general method of ranking investments.
Payback is useful as a general measure of risk (all things being equal, a
2-year payback is less risky than a 10-year payback).
(Bierman, H.,
An Introduction to Accounting and
Managerial Finance, pp. 69-71)
4. Rate-of-return method (Managerial Accounting):
Previous Definition:
The rate of return method also called return-on-investment (ROI) method,goes slightly beyond the present worth (PW) and uniform annual cost (UAC) methods by actually calculating the rate of return that is provided by the investment.If the calculater rate is greater than the criterion rate of return,the investment is acceptable.
To determine the return on investment,an equation must be set up with the rate of return as the unknown.Either the PW method or the UAC method can be used to establish the equation.Then the value of the interest rate i that drives the aggregate PW of UAC to zero is determined.
(Groover M.,Automotion,Production Systems and CIM Practice Hall 1st edition,p. 50)
The rate of return method also called return-on-investment (ROI) method,goes slightly beyond the present worth (PW) and uniform annual cost (UAC) methods by actually calculating the rate of return that is provided by the investment.If the calculater rate is greater than the criterion rate of return,the investment is acceptable.
To determine the return on investment,an equation must be set up with the rate of return as the unknown.Either the PW method or the UAC method can be used to establish the equation.Then the value of the interest rate i that drives the aggregate PW of UAC to zero is determined.
(Groover M.,Automotion,Production Systems and CIM Practice Hall 1st edition,p. 50)
New Definition (Better):
Many different
terms are used to define the internal rate of return concept. Among these terms
are yield, interest rate of return, rate
of return, return on investment, present value return on investment,
discounted cash flow, investor’s method, timeadjusted rate of return, and
marginal efficiency of capital. In this book, IRR and internal rate of return
are used interchangeably.
The internal
rate of return method utilizes present value concepts. The procedure is to find
a rate of discount that will make the present value of the cash proceeds
expected from an investment equal to the present value of the cash outlays required
by the investment. Such a rate of discount may be found by trial and error. For
example, with a conventional investment, if we know the cash proceeds and the
cash outlays in each future year, we can start with any rate of discount and
find for that rate the present value of the cash proceeds and the present value
of the outlays. If the net present value of the cash flows is positive, then
using some higher rate of discount would make them equal. By a process of trial
and error, the correct approximate rate of discount can be determined. This rate
of discount is referred to as the internal rate of return of the investment, or
its IRR.
The IRR method
is commonly used in security markets in evaluating bonds and other debt
instruments. The yield to maturity of a bond is the rate of discount that makes
the present value of the payments promised to the bondholder equal to the
market price of the bond. The yield to maturity on a $1,000 bond having a
coupon rate of 10 percent will be equal to 10 percent only if the current market
value of the bond is $1,000. If the current market value is greater than
$1,000, the IRR to maturity will be something less than the coupon rate; if the
current market value is less than $1,000, the IRR will be greater than the coupon
rate.
The internal
rate of return may also be described as the rate of growth of an investment.
This is more easily seen for an investment with one present outlay and one
future benefit. For example, assume that an investment with an outlay of $1,000
today will return $1,331 three years from now.
This is a 0.10 internal rate of
return, and it is also a 0.10 growth rate per year:
The internal
rate of return of a conventional investment has an interesting interpretation.
It represents the highest rate of interest an investor could afford to pay,
without losing money, if all the funds to finance the investment were borrowed and
the loan (principal and accrued interest) was repaid by application of the cash
proceeds from the investment as they were earned. We shall illustrate the
internal rate of return calculation using the example of the previous section
where the investment had a net present value of $886 using 0.10 as the discount
rate.
We want to
find the rate of discount that causes the sum of the present values of the cash
flows to be equal to zero. Assume that our first choice (an arbitrary guess) is
0.10. In the preceding situation, we found that the net present value using 0.10
is a positive $886. We want to change the discount rate so that the present value
is zero. Should we increase or decrease the rate of discount for our second estimate?
Since the cash flows are conventional (negative followed by positive), to decrease
the present value of the future cash flows, we should increase the rate of discount
(thus causing the present value of the future cash flows that are positive to be
smaller).
Let us try
0.20 as the rate of discount:
The net
present value is negative, indicating that the 0.20 rate of discount is too large.We
shall try a value between 0.10 and 0.20 for our next estimate.
Assume that we
try 0.16:
The net
present value is zero using 0.16 as the rate of discount, which by definition means
that 0.16 is the internal rate of return of the investment. Although tables
give only present value factors for select interest rates, calculators and
computers can be used for any interest rate.
(Bierman, H., An Introduction to Accounting and Managerial Finance, pp. 66-68)
5. Side-by-Side Mills (in Roll Forming)
Previous Definition:
Mills with the side-by-side arrangement of the stands
are commonly used as rail-and-structural steel and heavy-section mills.
The side-by-side mills are less costly, but have a substantial drawback. Roll speed is the same in all the stands; as strip length increases after each pass, the final stand becomes a bottleneck. Because of this, the rolling rate in these mills is quite low.(Iron and Steel Production, Bugayev, p.167)
The side-by-side mills are less costly, but have a substantial drawback. Roll speed is the same in all the stands; as strip length increases after each pass, the final stand becomes a bottleneck. Because of this, the rolling rate in these mills is quite low.(Iron and Steel Production, Bugayev, p.167)
New Definition (Better):
Tool changeover time can further be reduced by
mounting more than one set of tooling on the mill shafts. The simplest
arrangement for the narrow sections is to install two sets of rolls on common
shafts (Figure 2.23). The uncoiler, the prepunched press (if required), and the
cutoff press are in line with one set of rolls. When profile change is
required, the mill bed is moved sideways to align the second set of rolls with
the other equipment. The complete changeover takes less than 2 min. Depending
on the length of the mill bed, two, three, or more pairs of supporting rolls
(casters) are attached to the bottom of the mill bed.
FIGURE 2.23 Side-by-side rolls on a mill.
The rolls are moving on rails embedded into the floor.
Brass slides or linear bearings are also used to move the mill sideways. The
movement is accomplished by electrical motor driven screws or by other means (e.g.,
hydraulic cylinders). Moving the mill bed against positive stops assures proper
alignment. Occasionally, the mill remains in position while the uncoiler and
the press (hydraulic) are moved sideways.
The advantage of this “side-by-side” arrangement is
the high up-time. The disadvantage is that setting and adjusting one section
will at the same time change the setting of the other section. However, this shortcoming
can be easily overcome by using one or two more extra stands. At the more
frequently adjusted, critical passes, only rolls of one set are installed. At
the critical passes of the other section, only rolls for the other section are
installed. This arrangement ensures that adjusting one section will not influence
the other section.
It should also be noted that both sets of rolls must
have the same pitch diameter and that recutting one set of rolls will
necessitate the recutting of the other. During setup, the rolls closer to the
shaft shoulders (drive side) should be set and tested first, followed by the
roll set at the operator side.
To keep the changeover time to a minimum, each set of
rolls should have its own entry guide and straightener. If the product is
curved (swept) after the operation, then two individual curving units are
recommended for the sections. If the prepunching has a different pattern, then
either quick-change die should be used or the dies
should be capable of moving sideways. Either the complete cutoff die or the cutoff die inserts should also be of the quick-change
type.
Considering the advantages of the quick changeover,
some customers are requesting to install three sets of rolls on the same shaft.
Obviously, the longer the shaft is, the more critical the shaft deflection will
be. The recutting requirements (all sets have to be recut at the same time
regardless of unequal wear) and the number of additional stands to allow
individual adjustments should also be considered. Three sections with
relatively loose tolerances may be tooled on common shafts, but the optimum is
to have only two sets of rolls on the shafts. Occasionally, it is requested to
install four, five, or six sets of rolls on the shafts. This arrangement is not
recommended.
Special side-by-side rolls are used in the lines that
roll form two products at the same time from one common strip. The common strip
is slit into two at one point in the line. This system is used to increase productivity
to make two identical, or one left and one right section with each cut.
If three, four, five, or more sections have to be roll
formed, or if the sections are too wide to be placed economically side-by-side
in one stand, then a “side-by-side stand” mill can provide the solution for
quick changeover (Figure 2.24). In the side-by-side stand mill, the common
drive is usually at the center of the mill bed. The drive to each side can be
disconnected to avoid accidental start. Disconnect is usually automatic or
mechanical, not manual. Using side-by-side stands, one set of tooling can form
products, while the other (disconnected) stands can stay idle or the rolls can
be changed. The changeover of the two sides is quick, taking only a few
minutes.
If the sections are wide, then the two mill beds can
be attached side-by-side. This arrangement can be taken a step further and the
stands on both sides can be on rafts. Rafting will reduce the changeover time
of the rolls. However, with such a complex arrangement, the cost-effectiveness should
be checked. It is possible that two separate mills will provide better
flexibility, productivity, and perhaps a lower overall cost.
(Halmos, G. T., Roll Forming Handbook, p. 2-13)
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